As
a tanker carrying 42,000 tons of heavy fuel oil steams toward
North Korea, the Korean Peninsula Energy Development Organization
is meeting in New York today to consider whether the precious
cargo should be delivered to support Pyongyang's energy needs.
KEDO, led by the U.S., South Korea and Japan, should direct the
tanker to return home. It is time to chart a different course, one
that could produce a comprehensive solution to the current crisis
in Korea.
Stable
and Secure
U.S.
objectives in Korea are clear. We seek a peninsula that is (1)
stable and secure, and (2) free of nuclear weapons.
For
half a century we have assured the first objective through a
rock-ribbed security commitment to South Korea backed by
unquestionable military force, now represented by 37,000 American
troops. Since 1994, we have pursued the second through the
U.S.-North Korean Agreed Framework, which shut down North Korea's
plutonium production program in exchange for the offer of
light-water reactors and heavy fuel oil.
Debating
the virtues and defects of that accord does not constitute a
policy prescription for the future. As a practical matter, the
Agreed Framework has defined the nuclear equation in Korea. We
should salvage its useful elements, especially the verified freeze
on construction and operation of nuclear facilities that would
already have produced enough plutonium for dozens of nuclear
weapons, and would be adding 30 fresh bombs-worth annually. But we
should also take the opportunity raised by the current crisis to
move beyond the Framework to a comprehensive solution to the North
Korean nuclear threat.
So
long as North Korea continues to defy its international
nonproliferation commitments, KEDO should not provide heavy fuel
oil and the light-water reactor project North Korea expects under
the Framework. We should warn Pyongyang that any move to separate
the five or six bombs' worth of plutonium now sitting in spent
fuel rods at Yongbyon under international monitoring would pose a
clear and present danger to the U.S. and its allies. A surgical
strike against Yongbyon could be the only way to prevent the North
from greatly expanding whatever nuclear weapon capabilities it may
now possess.
Before
holding any bilateral discussions, we should insist that Pyongyang
now add uranium enrichment to the existing freeze on plutonium
separation. We must not engage Pyongyang in dialogue at the same
time it is violating past commitments.
Once
the expanded freeze is verifiably in place, we should seek the
dismantlement of Pyongyang's uranium enrichment program, shipment
of the existing spent fuel out of North Korea, and continuation of
the plutonium freeze until its reprocessing capabilities are also
dismantled.
These
commitments should be supported by international inspections of
any sites suspected of illicit nuclear activities beyond the
declared Yongbyon nuclear complex. The U.S. should be prepared to
respond to North Korean actions to eliminate their nuclear threat
-- covering uranium, plutonium, and inspections -- by addressing
the issues Pyongyang raised to justify their actions, including
their stated fear of assault on their borders or sovereignty.
If
Pyongyang rejects a freeze, then the international community
should respond to the continuing breach of its nonproliferation
commitments through the imposition of sanctions -- including
embargoes on trade and investment, and bans on remittances from
offshore Koreans to the North -- until North Korea satisfies the
world that it is complying fully with its nonproliferation
obligations.
While
the nuclear issue is the most urgent, North Korean ballistic
missile activities and forward-deployed conventional forces also
pose a serious threat to regional and global security. It would be
in our self-interest to address the full range of security issues
posed by North Korea in a manner that opened the door to the full
range of political and economic benefits from improved relations
enjoyed by the vast majority of the community of nations.
As
North Korea translates commitment into performance, so should we.
Opening North Korea to increased contact with the outside world
would introduce the fresh air of democratic ideas and culture that
may help North Korea escape the blight of its own failed system.
It surely is in our interest to bring these benefits to the North
Korean people, who have every right to the freedom and prosperity
already enjoyed by their South Korean neighbors.
If
diplomacy and sanctions fail, the U.S. may have no alternative to
the use of force against Pygongyang's nuclear program. No doubt
military options will be beset with severe difficulties --
identifying the right targets, securing allied support, and
building up sufficient military forces in the region to deter any
foolish but sanguinary North Korea response.
For
that reason it may be prudent to consult South Korea about
intensifying our combined military exercises on the peninsula. In
the meantime, loose talk denigrating our military options is a
serious mistake, undermining a half-century investment -- sealed
in American blood -- in standing up to North Korean aggression. As
President Bush has made clear, the U.S. must reserve the right to
take military action to confront a nuclear-armed threat rather
than run the risk of enduring a nuclear attack.
International
Effort
As
the president suggested at the United Nations, the issue of
nuclear proliferation is not bilateral in nature. Rather it pits
the offending party against the whole international community,
which needs to respond with one voice. China, which shares our
objectives of a stable and nuclear-free peninsula and may have the
most extensive contacts with North Korea, can be especially
helpful.
President
Bush should continue to lead a unified international effort to
halt the North Korean nuclear threat before Pyongyang's growing
capabilities -- and desperation -- combine to undermine the peace
and security of the region and the world..